The week also began with a Statistics Views interview with Dennis Lindley, an eminent statistician and leading advocate of Bayesian statistics. In this the 250th year celebration of Bayes, he would like to see society “restore reasoning to its proper place in modern thought; to make reasoning more popular, to persuade people to be rational“.
He talks about Bayesian statistics and its role in decision-making and advises the RSS getstats campaign to encourage everyone to think numerically and to focus on the important role of uncertainty …to build understanding of probability as a belief, an opinion about something “if you tell me its 120 miles from Oxford…well, I’m uncertain about that…who’s right? … I’ve got to express my probability for it; it’s nothing to do with frequencies; it’s nothing to do with tossing a coin over and over again “. For more insight into Dennis Lindley’s work, see an earlier article in Significance magazine.
Copyright: Image appears courtesy of Professor Lindley (taken from the Statistics Views website)